Cricket Betting Odds Explained in Detail
What Are Cricket Betting Odds?
The odds in cricket betting are represented in fractions and decimals. Each team playing has a certain decimal (these are called odds) associated with them at the start of the game and these change as the game progresses. These odds define which team is the favourite at a given moment in that game. The smaller the odds for a particular team mean that team is in a much better position to win the game.
Let’s take an example to understand what betting odds are and what they actually represent in cricket. For instance, let’s say Australia and England are playing a Test match. Australia are placed at the odds of 1.67 to win the match, while England are placed at the odds of 2.17 to win the match. The odds of the Test match ending in a draw are placed at 3.50. This means that Australia are the favourites to win the game but not by a big margin. Thus, if you think Australia will be the one who will win the game and say, you bet 10 points on Australia and they win the game, then you will return with 16.7 points (10 points that you bet and 6.7 as your profit). The same goes if you think England will win the game or if you think the game will end in a draw. However, remember that these odds just project the probability of a particular team ending up with a win.
The odds can be converted to a winning probability formula as well. Using the below formula in the above example, Australia had the chances of winning at 59.88%. Also, this does not mean that England can only have the chances of winning placed below 40%. That will depend on their odds.
Converting decimal odds to implied probability formula: Implied probability = 1 / decimal odds.
These are just for overall winners of the match. There are various kinds of cricket betting odds. There are bets for the team’s score being in excess of a certain threshold, the number of fours and sixes hit, the number of wickets taken, the numbers of runs scored and wickets taken in the powerplay (in case of ODIs and T20Is), which batsman will end up with the most runs, which bowler will end up with the most wickets, which team will win the toss, man of the match and many other aspects.
How Do Cricket Odds Work?
Let’s continue with the above example where Australia and England are placed at winning odds of 1.67 and 2.17 respectively. The draw is placed at odds of 3.50. For you to win, you need to bet on the team that will eventually end up winning the game. Your profit will be calculated using the following formula: Your Profit = (Stake * Odds) – Stake.
So, for instance, if you bet £100 on Australia’s win and the result works in your favour, then your profit would be £67 and you would return with £167. Your profit will be higher for less likely events and in this case, it may be an England win or a draw. Therefore, if you bet on England’s win and the result works in your favour, then you would return with a profit of £117.
How to Read Cricket Betting Odds?
Like in any other sport, cricket betting odds are presented and shown in decimals and fractions. The smaller the odds for a particular event the more likely the particular event is to occur compared to the others. For example, if the odds of player A emerging the top scorer are placed at 1.50, while the odds of player B becoming the top scorer are placed at 2.00, that means that the probability of player A ending up as the top scorer is bigger than that of player B. However, this is just a probability and these odds change as the match progresses.
Why Are Odds Important?
Cricket betting odds signify which team is favourite to win or which event is likely to take place at a given moment – either before or during the game. Hence, these odds help bookmakers to record bets for users at different positions and they are vital in the calculation of the profit and loss for every user.
How Do Bookmakers Set Their Odds?
It is the bookmakers who set different odds for various cricket betting options. Different bookmakers have different odds for different aspects of the game. They do a complete research of the players participating, teams, conditions, past records, the current form of teams and players and all other metrics to determine various odds. After all the calculations are done, the bookmakers set the odds for the winning team, losing team, man of the match, the number of boundaries scored, etc. The favourites for a particular event happening will be placed at lower odds.
Why Do Odds Change?
There are various factors that change during a game. Each team has a 50-50 chance of winning the toss as there are two results that are possible. However, in the actual game, the team composition, the players’ form, the pitch conditions and many other factors are taken into account. And these are subject to change as the game progresses as well. Moreover, it also depends on the number of people betting on a certain event. The most basic reason for odds to change is because the bookmaker needs to balance out both sides in order to make a profit as well.
Say, team A is not the favourite to win the game but they are in a commanding position halfway through the game. The odds will change at that stage and it will not be fair for users who placed their bets on team A before the game when compared to the ones who will be betting on team A at the halfway stage. Also, the bookmarkers will face heavy loss if the odds remain the same.
|Converting decimal odds to implied probability formula||Implied probability = 1 / decimal odds|
|Calculating Profit||Your Profit = (Stake Involved * Odds) – Stake Involved|